A range of sociodemographic, environmental, behavioural and personal indicators predict the likelihood of adopting or rejecting smoking, particularly in early adolescence. Detailed literature reviews have been published in the US Surgeon General's Reports of 1994,1 20009 and 2001,10 and in journal articles (for example Conrad,11 Sargent,4 Turner,7 and Moolchan12).
The factors discussed in the following sections are ordered according to the Theory of Triadic Influence, a model for integrating and understanding the interrelated influences on youth uptake of smoking developed by Flay.7, 13, 14 This model encompasses the 'big picture' of personal, social and environmental effects on behaviour, dividing them into three separate but interconnected streams:
The combined effect of the personal, social and wider environment leads to an individual's intentions and ultimate decision about whether or not to smoke. Different factors may be expected to have a greater or lesser influence on behaviour at different stages in a person's life. A decision to smoke leads to trialling the behaviour, and the resulting experience is mediated by each of the three major streams of influence—the personal, the social setting and broader expectancies and attitudes.13 This is illustrated in Figure 5.1.15
Figure 5.1
Influences on uptake of smoking
Source: Wood.15